Return Predictability of Stock Price Index in Tehran Stock Exchange
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Statistical analysis of the price index of Tehran Stock Exchange
This paper presents a statistical analysis of Tehran Price Index (TePIx) for the period of 1992 to 2004. The results present asymmetric property of the return distribution which tends to the right hand of the mean. Also the return distribution can be fitted by a stable Lévy distribution and the tails are very fatter than the gaussian distribution. We estimate the tail index of the TePIx returns...
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This paper has provided "out of sample" evidence of stock returns predictability in Tehran Stock Exchange. 68 qualified companies over the period from 2002 to 2015 were selected and for five different "forms of returns", five superior predictive models have been designed by applying "General to specific" approach of modeling technique. Then "out of sample" analysis, based on rolling regressions...
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This paper employs a general non-linear analysis tool to analyse the nature of time series associated with the price (returns) of a particular company in Tehran Stock Exchange. It is shown that the behavior of the process associated with the price (returns) time-series of this company is weakly chaotic, and due to the non-random behavior of the process, short term prediction of stock price is p...
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Modeling and analysis of future prices has been hot topic for economic analysts in recent years. Traditionally, the complex movements in the prices are usually taken as random or stochastic process. However, they may be produced by a deterministic nonlinear process. Accuracy and efficiency of economic models in the short period forecasting is strategic and crucial for business world. Nonlinear ...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: International Letters of Social and Humanistic Sciences
سال: 2013
ISSN: 2300-2697
DOI: 10.18052/www.scipress.com/ilshs.9.59